Standing with Voters
Trump’s approval stands at 42% approve to 56% disapprove among likely 2020 voters, a net-drop of 5 points from where it stood prior to the shutdown in December (44 / 53).
Approximately 62% of voters that have an opinion think that Donald Trump should sign the budget without border wall funding in order to re-open the government as opposed to 38% believing Democrats should agree to a budget with the border wall funding. Civis tracked this question over the course of a week and found that momentum is moving against Trump, with support for Trump caving increasing by approximately 3 percent over the course of the week.
While there is a real education gap, a majority (51 percent) of non-college white voters who have an opinion believe Trump should cave. This is Trump’s base and a group he claims to be trying to appease with his hardline approach.
The potential path forward for Trump is even more bleak. More than 70 percent of voters who have an opinion believe that Trump should not declare a state of emergency. If he follows through on his threats, he will further alienate these voters who disagree with his approach.
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